BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Wrestling

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Forest City

Class: 2A Class Rank: 25 Conference: (5-2-0) Overall: (12-8-0) Overall Strength =   86.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2011 Neutral W * 106.31  70   9   1A  70 ( 6-19) Britt West Hancock     21.42 *   39.58                      
  2 12/01/2011 Neutral W    96.09  47  28   1A  16 (10- 9) Emmetsburg-R-A         11.20      7.80                      
  3 12/06/2011 Away    L    71.59  10  59   3A   8 (21- 7) Mason City            -13.30 *  -35.70                      
  4 12/06/2011 Home    L *  82.94  15  49   2A   4 (24- 3) Osage                  -1.94    -32.06                      
  5 12/08/2011 Away    W *  69.47  57  15   1A  91 ( 3-19) Belmond-Klemme        -15.41 *   57.41                      
  6 12/13/2011 Home    W *  79.76  60  24   1A  70 ( 6-19) Britt West Hancock     -5.12 *   41.12                      
  7 12/13/2011 Home    W *  90.39  76   6   1A 103 ( 1-16) Garner-Hayfield         5.51 *   64.49                      
  8 12/13/2011 Home    W    91.52  51  20   1A  36 (14- 7) Manly Central Spring    6.64     24.36                      
  9 12/22/2011 Away    L    79.00  21  39   2A  15 (17- 4) Webster City           -5.89    -12.11                      
 10 01/03/2012 Home    L    81.59  21  43   1A   1 (17- 6) Nashua-Plainfield      -3.30    -18.70                      
 11 01/03/2012 Home    W    79.41  39  28   2A  43 (14-10) Riceville-St Ansgar    -5.47     16.47                      
 12 01/14/2012 Away    L    54.21   0  72   3A   6 (25- 6) Marion Linn-Mar       -30.67 *  -41.33                      
 13 01/14/2012 Unknown L    79.03  32  33   EX  32 ( 2- 2) Blue Earth MN          -5.85      4.85                      
 14 01/14/2012 Unknown W    99.42  43  33   2A  18 (13- 4) Spirit Lake Park       14.54     -4.54                      
 15 01/14/2012 Away    W   105.94  52  24   2A  32 (11- 5) Estherville LC         21.06      6.94                      
 16 01/14/2012 Unknown W   101.35  71   7   2A  89 ( 5-22) Sioux City Heelan      16.46 *   47.54                      
 17 01/19/2012 Away    W *  86.50  55  15   1A  61 (11- 9) Mason City Newman       1.61 *   38.39                      
 18 01/19/2012 Unknown W    91.22  51  21   2A  64 ( 5-13) Hampton-Dumont          6.33     23.67                      
 19 01/21/2012 Unknown L    75.32  33  37   2A  29 (15-12) Cresco Crestwood       -9.57      5.57                      
 20 01/26/2012 Away    L *  76.63  28  36   1A  11 (24- 5) Lake Mills             -8.25      0.25                      
      Averages              84.89  41.6 29.9

Best game:  106.31 = 61 point win over Britt West Hancock
Worst game:  54.21 = 72 point loss to Marion Linn-Mar
Team stdev:  13.14